Jul 222015
 

Nine countries possess over 15,000 nuclear weapons. The US and Russia have about 1,800 on high-alert status, according to ican, which accounts the number of nuclear warheads in countries worldwide, so far as of 2015.

This also confirms the current status of nuclear science and technology worldwide at the dawn of a potential US treaty with Iran, as a possible tenth new entrant into the world’s nuclear weapons club in 2015.

Once a historic nuclear deal with Iran is approved, the world’s two largest aircraft manufacturers, Boeing Company and Airbus Group SE, are poised to gain $20 billion in aircraft sales from Iran to revamp its civilian aviation fleet and to rebuild its commercial passenger airline industry that has taken a beating for three decades after the Iranian Revolution.

International commercial passenger airlines demand has been primarily based out of Dubai in Emirates Airlines, which is today the largest operator of Boeing’s 777-300ER and Airbus’s A380 superjumbo airliners.

Speaking about who benefits from the historic Iranian Nuclear Deal, alongside the infusing of $150 billion dollars in cash to Iran, and the lifting of three decades of economic sanctions on Iran, Adam Pilarski, an economist and senior vice president with Avitas Inc., a Reston, Virginia-based aerospace consultant, told Bloomberg News, “There’s no doubt there is huge potential, especially for Airbus and Boeing, to sell a large number of planes (in the United Arab Emirates region).”

Bloomberg first broke the story on these subtle international macroeconomic developments shaping the American debate on the final approval of the Iranian Nuclear Deal.

So, this may just be all about duopolistic aircraft manufacturing industrial organization, as well as, reducing aging aircraft fleets and increasing competition in the international commercial passenger airlines industry in the lucrative United Arab Emirates surrounding region.

The average age of the international civilian aircraft fleets operating in the region is approaching two and a half decades with Iran Air’s fleet, being the oldest at just over 27 years, and Emirates Airlines’s fleet, being the youngest at just over six years, according to Planespotters.com most recent aircraft fleet age comparison data for airlines surrounding the region of the United Arab Emirates.

Seven additional facts Americans should know about the historic Iranian Nuclear Deal are briefly summarized at the end of this piece.

Nuclear weaponry nowadays contains the total explosive power equivalent to about four tons of TNTNine nations have successfully detonated nuclear weapons, according to the Huntington Post and Wikipedia. Five are “nuclear-weapon states” (NWS) under the terms of the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT). These include the United States, Russia, United Kingdom, France, and China.

With 7,500 warheads, Russia has the biggest nuclear arsenal worldwide, followed closely by the US with 7,200. Between 2013-2022, the US is expected to outlay US$8.5 billion budgeted to nuclear incident management. France rounds out the top three with 300 warheads.

This is followed by China at fourth place with 250 warheads, United Kingdom at fifth place with 215 warheads, Pakistan at sixth place having about 100-120 warheads, and India at seven place, accounting for about 90-110 warheads, according to ican.

At eighth place, Israel is generally exclusively classified about its nuclear capabilities, maintaining a policy of deliberate ambiguity. It is not known definitively whether or not Israel has conducted a nuclear test, neither confirming nor denying it possesses such weapons. 

However, the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute‘s Yearbook of 2014, and ican in 2015 estimate Israel has approximately 80 warheads. North Korea is believed to have fewer than ten nuclear weapons, though it is not clear if it has developed the capability to deliver them in the last several decades, since the US-North Korean nuclear arsenal deal was ratified by Congress during the Clinton Administration.

Nuclear weapons hosting nations and nuclear arsenals alliance nations, include Sweden, Belgium, Spain, Portugal, Germany, Netherlands, Turkey, Canada and Transatlantic Oceanics, Japan, and Australia, to name just a few.

Nations formerly possessing nuclear weapons are Belarus, Kazakhstan, Ukraine, and South Africa, according to Wikipedia.

Iran as Potential New Entrant into the World’s Nuclear Weapons Club

At the dawn of a potential US treaty with Iran, as the tenth new entrant of the world’s nuclear weapons club in 2015, Iran’s military has successfully test-fired two new domestically made missiles (shown in photo above), Iranian defense minister said on February 11, 2014, according to state television, ahead of talks with world powers.

Following in similar trends of nuclear science and technology development as North Korea, Iran could potentially take at least several decades to develop any capabilities to deliver any nuclear arsenals the Middle East sovereign state would produce.

Such nuclear science and technology in the millennium age would most likely possess a nuclear detonation and delivery system that is much smaller in scale, achieved through advances in high-performance computing and advanced materials, via grand challenge developments in information technologies, biotechnologies, micro-technologies, even nano-technologies, compared to the conventional mega-scale nuclear detonation and delivery capabilities mastered through the birth of the nuclear age in the middle of the 20th century. These modern nuclear capabilities will be just as devastating as the 20th century weaponry of mass destruction, perhaps even more so in the millennium nuclear age, leveraging integration of the above scientific and technological fields.

Be that as it may, a potential US-Iranian nuclear weapons deal now being proposed by the Obama Administration is highly controversial.

As President Barack Obama and administration officials this week stump Capitol Hill garnering support for his controversial nuclear deal with Iran, “critics are roundly condemning the deal as a historic and catastrophic agreement that will strengthen Iran and imperil national security for America and its allies.”

Here are seven facts about President Obama’s proposed Iran nuclear deal Americans should know.

First and foremost, President Obama’s deal allows Iran to block inspector access to any undeclared nuclear site. Obama National Security Adviser, Susan Rice, admitted to CNN’s Wolf Blitzer on Wednesday, July 15, 2015 that “no Americans will be part of the IAEA [International Atomic Energy Agency] inspection teams.”

Fox News political contributor, Charles Krauthammer, counterpoints, “The denial is then adjudicated by a committee—on which Iran sits. It then goes through several other bodies, on all of which Iran sits” and the whole process may take up to 24 days.

On an additional fact, the Washington Post reports, “Yet another worry is that the lifting of tough economic sanctions on Iran would provide it with as much as $150 billion in revenue. Some of that money would be spent on infrastructure and the Iranian people.”

Obama National Security Adviser Susan Rice conceded on this fact to CNN’s Wolf Blitzer: “Yes, it is real, it is possible, and, in fact, we should expect that some portion of that money would go to the Iranian military and could potentially be used for the kinds of bad behavior that we have seen in the region up until now.”

A most critical fact is Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov confirmed on Tuesday, July 14, 2015 that “weapons supplies will be possible” under the new deal.

As the International Business Times reports, “Russia and China will continue to make weapons deals with Iran under U.N. procedures.” Krauthammer argues that “the net effect of this capitulation will be not only to endanger our Middle East allies now under threat from Iran and its proxies, but to endanger our own naval forces in the Persian Gulf.”

He added, “Imagine how Iran’s acquisition of the most advanced anti-ship missiles would threaten our control over the Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz, waterways we have kept open for international commerce for a half century.”

A final overarching fact is the support of the American people on a proposed US-Iranian nuclear arsenals deal. According to the latest Associated Press-GfK poll, “77 percent of Americans believe U.S. sanctions against Iran should be kept the same or increased, not lifted as Obama’s deal calls for,” reports Breitbart.com

“Prior to the announcement of President Obama’s controversial Iran nuclear deal, 60 percent of Americans disapproved of his handling of U.S. relations with Iran.”

President Obama and administration officials continue this week a 60-day campaign to build support for his controversial Iran nuclear deal.

A recent Washington Post/ABC News poll last week, says nearly 6 in 10 Americans, 59 percent, would support a plan to “lift economic sanctions in exchange for Iran restricting its nuclear program in a way that makes it hard for Iran to produce nuclear weapons.”

This deal which has been reached with Iran will “nuclearize the Middle East,” Senator John McCain (R-AZ) said on Monday, July 20, 2015. The Arizona Senator further speculates Congress will not approve President Obama’s deal with Iran in the first round.

“I think it’s not going to get through the first round, as you know, but the president’s already said he would veto and then the question is, are there sufficient votes to override a veto?” the Arizona senator told MSNBC’s “Morning Joe” program.

McCain added: “And, frankly, I’m on the side of Bibi [Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu],” stating his alliance with the Israeli leader and his fears about the future of Israel following the US-Iranian nuclear arsenals agreement for Iran to enter into the world’s nuclear weapons club in 2015.

Appendix

Birth of The Nuclear Age for The Millennium

Albert Einstein, the most famous Nobel Laureate nuclear physicist of his time, who wrote a letter to US President, Franklin Roosevelt, “pointed out the imminent dangers of a German atomic bomb. The result of Einstein’s efforts was to change the world history through the Manhattan Project. The project was highly secretive and expensive. Carried out in United States, it employed nearly 40000 people at thirty-seven installations and its aim was to take lead over Hitler in making an atomic bomb.”

“In America under the leadership of scientist Enrico Fermi much work had already been done on nuclear fission. In fact it was Fermi’s team, which in December 1942, produced the world’s first controlled nuclear fission chain reaction. Without this work, the development of an atomic bomb might not have been so quick, [but for] Fermi’s success in laying down the ground work for the process used these days. Scientists under the leadership of Robert Oppenheimer at Los Almos, New Mexico, turned their efforts to produce an atomic bomb. United States, thus, made an atomic bomb before Hitler did [as the Germans surrendered in May 1945]. The first test explosion took place in July 1945 at Almogordo, New Mexico.”

The release of atomic energy has not created a new problem. It has merely made more urgent the necessity of solving an “existing one.”  – Nobel Laureate Physicist Albert Einstein

Photo Credits: The largest nuclear explosion ever on earth was the March 26, 1954 detonation, codenamed Castle Bravo, the first test of a practical hydrogen bomb. Operation Castle, American series of high-energy nuclear tests at Bikini Atoll (in the Northwest of the Marshall Islands), March 26, 1954. (Cover Photo by Roger Viollet/Getty Images).

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  9 Responses to “9 Nations Are “The Nuclear Weapons Club” In 2015”

  1. It really does not matter what we say, there will always be those who want this power, and the end result is never good.
    Thee will never ever be any Law preventing everyone from not having this power. The question is.. Who the Hell is going to ensure that everybody sticks to the Law of ( NO MORE NUCLEAR WEAPONS ?)
    Perhaps the answer lays in a few of thee countries getting involved in blowing each other up., and leaving the World to recover once again as it did hundreds of times in the distant past.
    We are not worthy living on this beautiful planet, so its better to get rid of these useless make believe human beings who want nothing more than power.
    IT IS TIME FOR THE HUMAN SOCIETY TO WAKE UP AND GET RID OF THEIR GOVERNMENTS WHICH THEY PLACED IN POWER !

  2. I hv few question,

    1- estimate for india, pakistan and isreal are same for last 10 years. have they stopped the work ?
    2- Iran deal specifically deny nuclear weaponization of Iran, why include in the club ?

  3. Einstein, plagiarist of Poincarré…

  4. Lifting sanctions on Iran is a terrible mistake from my beloved US Government. Iran killed several US and other Nations citizens during their Hostile Religious Fanatic takeover of their Government back in the 70’s. Bomb the Nuclear sites and let them live with their fanatic hostile religious Dictatorship Government in Peace.

  5. I wish Dr. Albert Einstein would have thought of humanity sufferings and not by destroying humanity. Wars could be won on table with intellectuals like him and the Intelligent persons ruling the countries. I wish this idea would not have grown in the mind of Dr. Albert. Let us all make a world of peace and harmony by visits of the heads of States to create humanity and goodwill among the people and try to solve any or all problems by mutually agreed – GIVE AND TAKE methods. Thank you all for making a peaceful place to live with our children. Good bless you all.

  6. Obama is handing the Iranians nuclear weapons because he is a traitor, not for any other reason.

  7. Einstein is a plagiarist of Poincarré.

  8. Hi,
    You say -The largest nuclear explosion ever on earth was the March 26, 1954 detonation, codenamed Castle Bravo,
    WRONG.
    Tsar Bomba (Russian: Царь-бомба; “Tsar of bombs”) is the nickname for the AN602 hydrogen bomb, the most powerful nuclear weapon ever detonated. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tsar_Bomba

  9. Instead of wasting huge amount of nation’s economy for destroying ourselves; these nuclear power states must think about utilizing such huge amount for saving human generation and our home the earth.

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